Match Info

Serie A - Round 35

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brianteo (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	Optus Sport
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Chile	09:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	17:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	21:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Match 4, Net4+
India	18:30	GXR World
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2, Sport 3
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 3
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	16:00	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Arab Emirates	17:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	13:00	Onefootball


	Monza		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	12	6.25	1.22	Watch
	12.5	6.75	1.22
	12.5	6.9	1.21	Watch
	14.75	7.3	1.23
	13.37	6.84	1.23	Watch
	12	6.5	1.2
	12.9	6.69	1.25	Watch
	13	7	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.88 ↑ (11.48)	6.78 ↑ (6.02)	1.22 ↓ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
7.4%

Draw
14.1%

Atalanta
78.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

8.4%

15.9%

75.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.6%	20.5%	76.9%

Monza - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). Atalanta will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 63.7% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Atalanta (2.09) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 13. Pereira P. 22. Palacios T. 5. Caldirola L. (C) 19. Birindelli S. 11. Castrovilli G. 7. Akpa Akpro J. 42. Bianco A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 47. Mota D. 10. Caprari G.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 19. Djimsiti B. 4. Hien I. 3. Kossounou O. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 77. Zappacosta D. 11. Lookman A. 17. De Ketelaere C. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
2. Brorsson A. 84. Ciurria P. 57. Colombo L. 33. D'Ambrosio D. 20. Forson O. 3. Lekovic S. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 37. Petagna A. 12. Sensi S. 8. Urbanski K. 56. Vailati A. (G) 80. Vignato S.	44. Brescianini M. 7. Cuadrado J. 70. Maldini D. 8. Pasalic M. 28. Patricio R. (G) 31. Rossi F. (G) 22. Ruggeri M. 24. Samardzic L. 6. Sulemana I. 2. Toloi R.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, De Ketelaere C. ⚽, Retegui M. (A),
16', Caldirola L. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
23', 0 - 2, De Ketelaere C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Castrovilli G. ↓, Forson O. ↑,
46', Pereira P. ↓, Lekovic S. ↑,
46', Kossounou O. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,
47', 0 - 3, Lookman A. ⚽, Retegui M. (A),
51', Palacios T. 🟨,
64', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
71', Caprari G. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
71', Hien I. 🟨,
76', Retegui M. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
76', Djimsiti B. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
76', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
80', Lookman A. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
81', Cuadrado J. 🟨,
88', 0 - 4, Brescianini M. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Monza is Relegated to Serie B

Monza is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Atalanta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Monza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atalanta is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Carboni A. (Yellow Cards) D'Ambrosio D. (Ankle Injury) Ganvoula S. (Injury) Izzo A. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury) Zeroli K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Balde K. (Thigh Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Palestra M. (Muscle Injury) Posch S. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
27.04.25	Juventus - Monza	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Monza - Napoli	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Venezia - Monza	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Monza - Como	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Cagliari - Monza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
27.04.25	Atalanta - Lecce	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Milan - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Atalanta - Bologna	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Atalanta - Lazio	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Fiorentina - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.10.24	Atalanta - Monza	2:0
21.04.24	Monza - Atalanta	1:2
02.09.23	Atalanta - Monza	3:0
04.06.23	Atalanta - Monza	5:2
05.09.22	Monza - Atalanta	0:2

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