What is the expert prediction for Udinese vs Monza?

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Udinese vs Monza Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, May 11, 2025)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 36

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2, Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Onefootball


	Udinese		Monza

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.49	4.33	6.5
	1.52	4.25	6.4
	1.54	4.3	6.59
	1.54	4.29	6.52	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.56	4.48	6.69	Watch
	1.52	4.3	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.31 ↑ (4.28)	6.43 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
63%

Draw
22.1%

Monza
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.5%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Udinese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

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Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Monza (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Monza (4.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Udinese will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Monza (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 29. Bijol J. (C) 28. Solet O. 77. Modesto R. 6. Zarraga O. 25. Karlstrom J. 5. Payero M. 11. Kamara H. 14. Atta A. 9. Davis K.	21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 13. Pereira P. (C) 2. Brorsson A. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. 11. Castrovilli G. 42. Bianco A. 7. Akpa Akpro J. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 20. Forson O. 10. Caprari G.
Substitutes
21. Bravo I. 19. Ehizibue K. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 30. Giannetti L. 27. Kabasele C. 8. Lovric S. 17. Lucca L. 93. Padelli D. (G) 20. Pafundi S. 16. Palma M. 99. Pizarro D. 7. Sanchez A. 90. Sava R. (G) 33. Zemura J.	17. Balde K. 84. Ciurria P. 57. Colombo L. 3. Lekovic S. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 22. Palacios T. 37. Petagna A. 12. Sensi S. 30. Turati S. (G) 8. Urbanski K. 80. Vignato S. 18. Zeroli K.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Nesta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bijol J. ↓, Lovric S. ↑,
46', Zarraga O. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
50', Atta A. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Caprari G. ⚽,
63', Payero M. ↓, Ekkelenkamp J. ↑,
65', Forson O. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
65', Castrovilli G. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
70', Davis K. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
75', Atta A. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Lucca L. ⚽, Karlstrom J. (A),
78', Bianco A. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
84', Caprari G. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
84', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Balde K. ⚽, Zeroli K. (A),
90+1', Balde K. 🟨,
90+3', Lucca L. 🟨,
90+6', Pereira P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Monza is Relegated to Serie B

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.

Udinese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Monza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Udinese is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Udinese: Thauvin F. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Gagliardini R. (Injury) Ganvoula S. (Injury) Izzo A. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Lucca L. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Caldirola L. (Thigh Injury) D'Ambrosio D. (Injury) Mota D. (Injury) Turati S. (Illness)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
03.05.25	Cagliari - Udinese	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Torino - Udinese	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Udinese - Milan	0:4 ✺
04.04.25	Genoa - Udinese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLLL
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
04.05.25	Monza - Atalanta	0:4 ✺
27.04.25	Juventus - Monza	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Monza - Napoli	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Venezia - Monza	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Monza - Como	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.12.24	Monza - Udinese	1:2
03.02.24	Udinese - Monza	0:0
29.10.23	Monza - Udinese	1:1
08.04.23	Udinese - Monza	2:2
Coppa Italia
19.10.22	Udinese - Monza	2:3
Italian Serie A
26.08.22	Monza - Udinese	1:2

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