Match Info

Serie A - Round 36

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	12:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	07:30	Disney+
Armenia	14:30	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	20:30	beIN Connect, Optus Sport
Austria	12:30	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	12:30	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	07:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	13:30	Max Sport 3
Chile	06:30	Disney+
China	18:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	05:30	Disney+
Croatia	12:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	13:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	12:30	Sport 1
Denmark	12:30	TV2 Play
Finland	13:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	12:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	13:30	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	18:30	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	12:30	Match 4, Net4+
India	16:00	GXR World
Indonesia	17:30	Vidio
Israel	13:30	ONE Sport 2, Sport 3
Italy	12:30	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	19:30	DAZN Japan
Macao	18:30	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Maldives	15:30	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	12:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	04:30	Disney+
New Zealand	22:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	12:30	VG+
Peru	05:30	Disney+
Poland	12:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	11:30	Sport TV2
Romania	13:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	13:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	13:30	STC TV
Serbia	12:30	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	12:30	Arena Sport 2
South Korea	19:30	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	12:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	12:30	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	12:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	13:30	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	13:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Arab Emirates	14:30	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	07:30	Disney+
Usa	06:30	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	06:30	Disney+
Vietnam	17:30	ON Plus
International	10:30	Onefootball


	Udinese		Monza

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.49	4.33	6.5
	1.52	4.25	6.4
	1.54	4.3	6.59
	1.54	4.29	6.52	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.56	4.48	6.69	Watch
	1.52	4.3	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.31 ↑ (4.28)	6.43 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
63%

Draw
22.1%

Monza
14.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.5%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Udinese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Udinese - Monza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Monza (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Monza (4.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Udinese will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 29. Bijol J. (C) 28. Solet O. 77. Modesto R. 6. Zarraga O. 25. Karlstrom J. 5. Payero M. 11. Kamara H. 14. Atta A. 9. Davis K.	21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 13. Pereira P. (C) 2. Brorsson A. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. 11. Castrovilli G. 42. Bianco A. 7. Akpa Akpro J. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 20. Forson O. 10. Caprari G.
Substitutes
21. Bravo I. 19. Ehizibue K. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 30. Giannetti L. 27. Kabasele C. 8. Lovric S. 17. Lucca L. 93. Padelli D. (G) 20. Pafundi S. 16. Palma M. 99. Pizarro D. 7. Sanchez A. 90. Sava R. (G) 33. Zemura J.	17. Balde K. 84. Ciurria P. 57. Colombo L. 3. Lekovic S. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 22. Palacios T. 37. Petagna A. 12. Sensi S. 30. Turati S. (G) 8. Urbanski K. 80. Vignato S. 18. Zeroli K.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Nesta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bijol J. ↓, Lovric S. ↑,
46', Zarraga O. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
50', Atta A. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Caprari G. ⚽,
63', Payero M. ↓, Ekkelenkamp J. ↑,
65', Forson O. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
65', Castrovilli G. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
70', Davis K. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
75', Atta A. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Lucca L. ⚽, Karlstrom J. (A),
78', Bianco A. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
84', Caprari G. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
84', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Balde K. ⚽, Zeroli K. (A),
90+1', Balde K. 🟨,
90+3', Lucca L. 🟨,
90+6', Pereira P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Monza is Relegated to Serie B

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.

Udinese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Monza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Udinese is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Udinese: Thauvin F. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Gagliardini R. (Injury) Ganvoula S. (Injury) Izzo A. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Lucca L. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Caldirola L. (Thigh Injury) D'Ambrosio D. (Injury) Mota D. (Injury) Turati S. (Illness)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
03.05.25	Cagliari - Udinese	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Torino - Udinese	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Udinese - Milan	0:4 ✺
04.04.25	Genoa - Udinese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLLL
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
04.05.25	Monza - Atalanta	0:4 ✺
27.04.25	Juventus - Monza	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Monza - Napoli	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Venezia - Monza	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Monza - Como	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.12.24	Monza - Udinese	1:2
03.02.24	Udinese - Monza	0:0
29.10.23	Monza - Udinese	1:1
08.04.23	Udinese - Monza	2:2
Coppa Italia
19.10.22	Udinese - Monza	2:3
Italian Serie A
26.08.22	Monza - Udinese	1:2

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