Match Info

Serie A - Round 27

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Cremonese		Milan

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.75	1.38	Watch
	6.25	4.2	1.53
	8.8	4.45	1.41	Watch
	8.95	4.77	1.4
	8.64	4.75	1.4	Watch
	7.5	4.33	1.4
	8.8	4.91	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.21 ↑ (5.94)	4.59 ↑ (4.13)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
11.7%

Draw
20.9%

Milan
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

22.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

22.5%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	11.1%	83.3%

Cremonese - Milan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Cremonese (2.37) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25, 1st Half - Cremonese (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Milan (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 3 - 30%). Milan (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 55. Folino F. 15. Bianchetti M. 5. Luperto S. 7. Zerbin A. 2. Thorsby M. 29. Maleh Y. 27. Vandeputte J. 3. Pezzella G. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.	16. Maignan M. (G) 23. Tomori F. 5. De Winter K. 31. Pavlovic S. 56. Saelemaekers A. 19. Fofana Y. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 11. Pulisic C. 10. Leao R.
Substitutes
4. Barbieri T. 38. Bondo W. 23. Ceccherini F. 9. Djuric M. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 33. Grassi A. 69. Nava L. (G) 32. Payero M. 99. Sanabria A. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 24. Terracciano F.	24. Athekame Z. 2. Estupinan P. 9. Fullkrug N. 30. Jashari A. 18. Nkunku C. 27. Odogu D. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 4. Ricci S. 1. Terracciano P. (G)
Coaches
Nicola D.	Allegri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Fofana Y. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
62', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
66', Bianchetti M. ↓, Terracciano F. ↑,
66', Vardy J. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
66', Zerbin A. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
76', Terracciano F. 🟨,
78', Pulisic C. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
78', Tomori F. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
82', Vandeputte J. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
85', Maleh Y. 🟨,
89', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Estupinan P. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Pavlovic S. ⚽, Modric L. (A),
90+4', 0 - 2, Leao R. ⚽, Nkunku C. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Cremonese is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Milan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Milan is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Cremonese: Baschirotto F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Broken jawbone)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Injury) Floriani R. (Muscle Injury) Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury) Payero M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Gabbia M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 7.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
22.02.26	Roma - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cremonese - Genoa	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Atalanta - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Cremonese - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
22.02.26	Milan - Parma	0:1 ✺
18.02.26	Milan - Como	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Pisa - Milan	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Bologna - Milan	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Roma - Milan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
23.08.25	Milan - Cremonese	1:2
03.05.23	Milan - Cremonese	1:1
08.11.22	Cremonese - Milan	0:0

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