Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Millonarios		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6
	2.2	2.95	3.5
	2.28	3	3.3	Watch
	2.14	2.9	3.45
	2.18	3.04	3.87
	2.1	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.12	3.14	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.6)	3 ↓ (3.24)	3.56 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
42.8%

Draw
31%

Fluminense
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

20.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millonarios's performance.

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millonarios that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+23.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Millonarios - Fluminense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Millonarios is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fluminense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Millonarios will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
19.02.22	Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
16.02.22	Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Deportivo Cali - Millonarios	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.02.22	Emelec - Millonarios	1:0
Colombian Primera A
06.02.22	Millonarios - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLW
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
19.02.22	Fluminense - Volta Redonda	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Nova Iguaçu - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Fluminense - Portuguesa RJ	1:0 ✺
10.02.22	Fluminense - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Flamengo - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

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