The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Millonarios 64.9%
Draw 23.2%
Unión Magdalena 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.7%
21%
10.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.7%
19.8%
9.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
57.1%
0%
Millonarios - Unión Magdalena Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. De Amores G. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 27. Giraldo N. 17. Arias J. 4. Vargas J. (C) 5. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 10. Bruno Savio 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 99. Hurtado J. 8. Victoria Palacios D. S. 43. Marimon L.
1. Mattalia J. (G) 27. Lerma J. 15. Urrego Hector 28. Mercado J. 18. Molina F. 26. Tello J. 6. Ortiz D. 20. Giraldo J. 24. Cantillo F. (C) 10. Sarmiento J. 21. Marquez R.
Substitutes
20. Banguero D. 25. Cuero B. 32. Giordana S. 6. Mosquera S. 35. Mosquera S. 12. Novoa D. (G) 7. Ramirez J. 28. Vega S. 30. Viveros S.
8. Colpa Bolano R. R. 16. Congo J. 80. Hinojosa R. 9. Iguaran C. 23. Lastre E. 11. Martinez M. 3. Ramos N. 2. Sagrera W. 12. Tasso M. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez D.
Silva C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Arias J. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Sarmiento J. ⚽, Marquez R. (A),
36', Bruno Savio 🟨,
44', Marimon L. 🟨,
45+3', Ortiz D. 🟥,
45+10', Tello J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marimon L. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
46', Bruno Savio ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
46', Giraldo J. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Sarmiento J. ⚽, Marquez R. (A),
53', Giraldo N. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
53', Sarabia C. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
62', Lerma J. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
62', Marquez R. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
74', Mercado J. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
74', Mattalia J. 🟨,
80', Vargas J. 🟨,
85', Hurtado J. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
85', Urrego Hector 🟨,
88', Sarmiento J. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
90+2', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
90+3', Cantillo F. 🟨,
90+5', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 3.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Millonarios is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).