Match Info

Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: The Den (London)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Millwall		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.1
	4.13	3.35	1.96	Watch
	4.13	3.4	1.94	Watch
	3.8	3.2	2
	3.96	3.28	1.96	Watch
	4.33	3.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.58)	3.32 ↓ (3.37)	1.97 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
23.6%

Draw
28.4%

Ipswich Town
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.1%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

29%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.1%	6.5%	77.4%

Millwall - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Ipswich will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ipswich (3.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ipswich (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ipswich Town will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ipswich (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Crocombe M. (G) 4. Crama T. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 23. Bryan J. 8. Mitchell B. 14. Doughty A. 17. Langstaff M. 10. Neghli C. 22. Emakhu A. 9. Ivanovic M.	28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 12. Cajuste J. 20. McAteer K. 32. Nunez M. 11. Philogene J. 31. Azon I.
Substitutes
7. Ballo T. 31. Bangura-Williams R. 13. Benda S. (G) 45. Harding W. 47. Howland J. 18. Leonard R. 28. Matthews A. 2. McNamara D. 3. Sturge Z.	29. Akpom Ch. 7. Burns W. 47. Clarke J. 8. Egeli S. W. 24. Greaves J. 18. Johnson B. 1. Palmer A. (G) 14. Taylor J. 15. Young A.
Coaches
Neil A.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Philogene J. 🟨,
65', McAteer K. ↓, Egeli S. W. ↑,
65', Azon I. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
71', Philogene J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
71', Cajuste J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
72', Emakhu A. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
72', Mitchell B. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
82', Neghli C. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
82', Bryan J. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
83', Furlong D. 🟨,
86', Nunez M. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
90', Leonard R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.

Millwall has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ipswich is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ipswich could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) Cundle L. (Shoulder Injury) De Norre C. (Calf Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Mazou-Sacko D. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Clarke H. (Knee Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Hirst G. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
20.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Millwall - Hull City	1:3 ✺
10.12.25	Derby County - Millwall	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bristol City - Millwall	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Millwall - Southampton	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLTWW
- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
20.12.25	Ipswich Town - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Leicester City - Ipswich Town	3:1 ✺
10.12.25	Ipswich Town - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Ipswich Town - Coventry City	3:0 ✺
02.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
14.02.24	Millwall - Ipswich Town	0:4
29.11.23	Ipswich Town - Millwall	3:1
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Millwall - Ipswich Town	1:1
31.07.21	Ipswich Town - Millwall	0:3
English League Championship
01.01.19	Ipswich Town - Millwall	2:3
27.10.18	Millwall - Ipswich Town	3:0
02.04.18	Ipswich Town - Millwall	2:2

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