The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 38.1%
Draw 28.4%
Burton Albion 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
27.7%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
27.4%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milton Keynes Dons's form might have worsened.
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burton Albion's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burton Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47.4%
15.8%
36.8%
Milton Keynes Dons - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Burton will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 24.9% – 69.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (8.91%), has project points - 52, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Burton has the most likely position - 24 (19.41%), has project points - 42, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (65%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality18, importance41, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 4.
Recent matches MK Dons is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Burton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Burton have a series of home games.
MK Dons will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.
Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
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