The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mirandés 29%
Draw 32.7%
Deportivo Alavés 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
32.6%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
34.1%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirandés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40.9%
36.4%
22.7%
Mirandés - Deportivo Alavés Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Alavés will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 20.4% – 61.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Mirandés has the most likely position - 17 (9.53%), has project points - 52, has currently - 30, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Alavés has the most likely position - 5 (12.65%), has project points - 66, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
This event has quality33, importance35, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Recently Alavés have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.
Watch
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