Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 25

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Mirandés B		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.9	1.98
	3.78	2.83	2.02
	3.78	2.83	2.02
	3.78	2.99	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.38)	2.89 ↓ (3)	2.01 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés B
24.1%

Draw
31.1%

Atlético Astorga
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

30.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

29.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés B than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirandés B won 5.

Mirandés B is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Astorga is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Astorga will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mirandés B won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirandés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
10.03.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Mirandés B - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Burgos Promesas - Mirandés B	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Mirandés B - Leonesa B	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Almazán - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTT
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
09.03.24	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Ponferradina B	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Colegios Diocesanos - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
29.10.23	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés B	0:1
01.04.23	Mirandés B - Atlético Astorga	2:0
03.12.22	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés B	0:1
26.03.22	Mirandés B - Atlético Astorga	1:0
13.11.21	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés B	0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
29.05.21	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés B	0:1

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