Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 24

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Mirassol		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3	2.95
	2.5	3	3
	2.5	3.09	3.17
	2.45	2.99	3.1
	2.38	3.1	3
	2.36	3.18	3.07	Watch
	2.5	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 (2.43)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	3.05 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
38.6%

Draw
30.7%

América Mineiro
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mirassol have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Mirassol aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	27.6%	3.4%

Mirassol - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vanderlei (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 37. Zeca 32. Rodrigo Andrade 8. Danielzinho 27. Gabriel (C) 77. Iury Castilho 7. Fernandinho 49. Dellatorre	1. Elias (G) 20. Daniel Borges 45. Ricardo Silva 33. Eder 6. Marlon 16. Ale 19. Felipe Amaral 8. Juninho (C) 88. Matheus Davo 28. Fabinho 7. Vinicius
Substitutes
2. Alex Silva 16. Bruno Matias 29. Cristian Renato 44. Henri 14. Isaque 20. Joao Pedro 99. Leo Gamalho 3. Lucas Gazal 98. Marquinhos 25. Neto Moura 6. PH 90. Thomazella (G)	44. Adyson 31. Dalberson (G) 80. Daniel Junior 5. Elizari F. 99. Jonathas 18. Julio 3. Lucao 36. Mateus Henrique 15. Moises 30. Nicolas 78. Renato Marques 75. Rodriguinho
Coaches
Mozart	Lisca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
20', Gabriel ↓, Isaque ↑,
43', Marlon 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marlon ↓, Nicolas ↑,
46', Vinicius ↓, Jonathas ↑,
52', Eder 🟨,
69', Fernandinho ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
69', Isaque 🟨,
70', Isaque ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
70', Fabinho ↓, Daniel Junior ↑,
70', Felipe Amaral ↓, Adyson ↑,
78', Zeca ↓, Lucas Gazal ↑,
79', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Neto Moura ↑,
90+1', Matheus Davo ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
90+4', Daniel Junior 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 8).

Mirassol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches América MG is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mirassol will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in América MG: Brenner (Injury) Gustavinho (Injury) Martin Benitez (Injury) Pedro Barcelos (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
26.08.24	Paysandu - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
21.08.24	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Ceará - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
09.08.24	Mirassol - Brusque	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Chapecoense - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWWW
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
25.08.24	Vila Nova - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
21.08.24	América Mineiro - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
16.08.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
09.08.24	América Mineiro - Botafogo SP	3:1 ✺
02.08.24	Brusque - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.05.24	América Mineiro - Mirassol	0:0

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