Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 23

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)

Referee: Augusto V. C. M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Paysandu		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.25
	2.3	2.95	3.4
	2.35	2.99	3.63
	2.31	2.91	3.47	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.26	3.13	3.31	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.53)	2.99 ↑ (2.96)	3.4 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
41.1%

Draw
31.3%

Mirassol
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

31.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

31.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Paysandu - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 2. Edilson 3. Quintana Y. 23. Carlao 21. Bryan 8. Joao Vieira 38. Matheus Trindade 10. Cazares 20. Robinho (C) 26. Ruan Ribeiro 99. Yony Gonzalez	23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 3. Lucas Gazal 37. Zeca 32. Rodrigo Andrade 25. Neto Moura 27. Gabriel (C) 10. Chico Kim 99. Leo Gamalho 77. Iury Castilho
Substitutes
17. Biel Fonseca 32. Brendon 15. Garcia E. 14. Juninho 6. Keffel 35. Luan Freitas 13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 16. Michel Macedo 5. Netinho 29. Pedro Romano 30. Val Soares 39. Wesley Fraga	16. Bruno Matias 44. Henri 14. Isaque 20. Joao Pedro 98. Marquinhos 6. PH 1. Vanderlei (G)
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Chico Kim 🟨,
36', Cazares 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
60', Chico Kim 🟨,
64', Bryan 🟨,
67', Iury Castilho ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
70', Robinho ↓, Juninho ↑,
73', Gabriel ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
73', Leo Gamalho ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
76', Quintana Y. 🟨,
80', Joao Vieira ↓, Netinho ↑,
80', Cazares ↓, Brendon ↑,
83', Lucas Ramon ↓, Henri ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Paysandu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mirassol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.24	Avaí - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Botafogo SP - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
09.08.24	Paysandu - Santos	0:3 ✺
05.08.24	Vila Nova - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
29.07.24	Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLTL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.24	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Ceará - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
09.08.24	Mirassol - Brusque	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Chapecoense - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Mirassol - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.05.24	Mirassol - Paysandu	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.22	Mirassol - Paysandu	1:1

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