Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mirassol		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.93	3.10	3.70
	2.02	3.15	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3.26	4.04
	1.92	3.31	4.13	Watch
	2.06	3.2	3.9
	2.07	3.42	3.93	Watch
	2.09	3.3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.2)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	3.88 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
46.7%

Draw
29%

Grêmio
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	44.4%	0%

Mirassol - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Mirassol (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Walter (G) 32. Igor Formiga 34. Joao Victor (C) 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 6. Reinaldo 25. Neto Moura 8. Denilson 17. Fernandinho 33. Eduardo 95. Edson Carioca 30. Bruno Santos	1. Weverton (G) 27. Diego Caito 6. Gustavo Martins 82. Wallace 23. Marlon 19. Noriega E. 21. Tete 20. Villasanti M. (C) 5. Nardoni J. 9. Amuzu F. 95. Carlos Vinicius
Substitutes
77. Alesson 23. Alex Muralha (G) 9. Andre Luis 96. Carlos Eduardo 55. Cazonatti G. 10. Chico Kim 20. Daniel Borges 2. Lucas Oliveira 7. Shaylon 12. Victor Luis 80. Wallisson 3. Willian Machado	22. Braithwaite M. 77. Cabral J. 17. Dodi 99. Enamorado J. 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 37. Gabriel Mec 43. Luis Eduardo 30. Matheus Nascimento 7. Pavon C. 54. Pedro Gabriel 33. Perez L. 3. Wagner Leonardo
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Bruno Santos ⚽, Igor Formiga (A),
45+1', Walter ↓, Alex Muralha ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Amuzu F. ⚽, Tete (A),
64', Eduardo ↓, Alesson ↑,
69', Amuzu F. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
70', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Braithwaite M. ↑,
76', Enamorado J. 🟨,
76', Reinaldo 🟨,
77', Neto Moura ↓, Cazonatti G. ↑,
77', Fernandinho ↓, Shaylon ↑,
77', Denilson ↓, Wallisson ↑,
78', Cazonatti G. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Grêmio is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mirassol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mirassol: Jose Aldo (Injury) Negueba (Knee Injury) Neto Moura (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Grêmio: Walter Kannemann (Red Card)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Alesson (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.26	Mirassol - Remo	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Vasco da Gama - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Mirassol - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Athletico Paranaense - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Lanús - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWLL
- Grêmio RS
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	Grêmio - Bolívar	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.26	Grêmio - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.26	Bolívar - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.07.26	Mirassol - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Grêmio - Cruzeiro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
17.07.26	Mirassol - Grêmio	2:1
13.09.25	Grêmio - Mirassol	0:1
16.04.25	Mirassol - Grêmio	4:1
Copa do Brasil
01.03.22	Mirassol - Grêmio	3:2

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