Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 20

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Caze TV, Premiere, TV Record
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Disney+
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vasco da Gama		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.40	3.60
	2.02	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.06	3.43	4.1
	2.09	3.34	3.48	Watch
	2.03	3.35	3.95
	2.1	3.49	3.71	Watch
	2.03	3.4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.13)	3.38 ↑ (3.33)	3.79 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
46.7%

Draw
28.2%

Mirassol
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Vasco da Gama - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Mirassol will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. (C) 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 66. Cuiabano 88. Cauan Barros 3. Tche Tche 28. Adson 83. Ramon Rique 11. Gomez A. 77. Spinelli C.	22. Walter (G) 32. Igor Formiga 34. Joao Victor (C) 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 6. Reinaldo 8. Denilson 21. Jose Aldo 5. Japa 19. Gustavo Silva 30. Bruno Santos 95. Edson Carioca
Substitutes
13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 18. Hinestroza M. 8. Jair 60. Joao Vitor 98. JP 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 17. Moreira N. 29. Paulinho 96. Paulo Henrique 10. Rojas J.	9. Andre Luis 96. Carlos Eduardo 10. Chico Kim 33. Eduardo 18. Elias 17. Fernandinho 27. Galeano A. 2. Lucas Oliveira 7. Shaylon 90. Thomazella (G) 12. Victor Luis 3. Willian Machado
Coaches
Emanuel P.	Rafael Guanaes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Igor Formiga ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
36', Jose Aldo ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gustavo Silva ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
60', Tche Tche ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
60', Adson ↓, David ↑,
66', Walter 🟨,
69', Edson Carioca ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
69', Japa ↓, Eduardo ↑,
70', Ramon Rique ↓, Jair ↑,
71', Cuiabano ↓, Lucas Piton ↑,
74', Cauan Barros ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽,
82', Denilson ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
83', Moreira N. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vasco might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Vasco: Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Mirassol: Negueba (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Vasco	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35
15	Mirassol	29	8	9	12	34:43	-9	33

Last Results with these Odds

Mirassol - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 27.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.26	Independiente Medellín - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.07.26	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Barracas Central	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLWL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
17.07.26	Mirassol - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Athletico Paranaense - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Lanús - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	Mirassol - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Always Ready - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.01.26	Mirassol - Vasco da Gama	2:1
02.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Mirassol	0:2
02.08.25	Mirassol - Vasco da Gama	3:2

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