Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)


	Mirassol		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.8
	1.65	3.4	5.5
	1.67	3.64	6.08
	1.62	3.4	4.8
	1.66	3.72	5.35	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)	3.54 ↑ (3.38)	5.24 ↓ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
56.1%

Draw
26.2%

Tombense
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

26.9%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

26.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Mirassol - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tombense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Muralha (C) 2. Lucas Ramon 3. Thalisson Kelven 4. Luiz Otavio 6. Guilherme Biro 5. Yuri Lima 8. Danielzinho 11. Negueba 10. Gabriel 7. Chico Kim 9. Ze Roberto	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Pedro Costa 3. Augusto 4. Ze Vitor 6. Egidio 8. Joao Pedro 5. Bruno Silva (C) 10. Matheus Frizzo 7. Keke 9. Fernandao 11. Marcelinho
Substitutes
16. Borges de Accacio Lima I. C. 20. Camilo 12. Cesar Augusto (G) 21. Cristian Renato 25. Darley (G) 17. Fernandinho 15. Flavio Silva 18. Julimar 19. Kauan 13. Renie 14. Rodrigo Sam 22. Vico	20. Alexandre Jesus 22. Djalma 16. Emerson 15. Guilherme Santos 17. Jaderson 13. Kevin 19. Kleiton 12. Leo Lang (G) 14. Luis Felipe 18. Rafinha 21. Ruan Levine
Coaches
Mozart	Burse J.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 16).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
19.07.23	Atlético Goianiense - Mirassol	2:2 ✺
16.07.23	Mirassol - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.07.23	Comercial SP - Mirassol	0:3 ✺
10.07.23	Mirassol - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.07.23	Sport Recife - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWTT
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
18.07.23	Tombense - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
15.07.23	Ponte Preta - Tombense	0:1 ✺
08.07.23	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
30.06.23	Tombense - Chapecoense	4:2 ✺
27.06.23	Vila Nova - Tombense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWL

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