The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 34.3%
Draw 28.7%
Mirassol 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
29.1%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
29.2%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
10%
90%
Sport Recife - Mirassol Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 71.4% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mirassol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel (G) 13. Aderlan 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 40. Ramon Menezes 36. Luan Candido 21. Lucas Kal 28. Pedro Augusto 27. Oliveira S. 17. Matheusinho 11. Romarinho 18. Derik Lacerda
22. Walter (G) 20. Daniel Borges 34. Joao Victor 3. Jemmes 6. Reinaldo 8. Danielzinho (C) 25. Neto Moura 12. Guilherme 11. Negueba 77. Alesson 78. Renato Marques
Substitutes
20. Atencio R. 22. Caique Franca (G) 30. Chrystian Barletta 54. Gomes do Nascimento A. 19. Hyoran 16. Igor Carius 38. Leo Pereira 33. Matheus Alexandre 92. Pablo 7. Paciencia G. 46. Riquelme 6. Silva J.
23. Alex Muralha (G) 96. Carlos Eduardo 91. Chico 10. Chico Kim 16. Felipe Jonatan 44. Gabriel 21. Jose Aldo 4. Luiz Otavio 99. Maceio 18. Matheus Bianqui 5. Roni 7. Shaylon
Coaches
Daniel Paulista
Rafael Guanaes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Reinaldo 🟨,
24', Matheusinho 🟥,
28', 0 - 1, Negueba ⚽, Daniel Borges (A),
38', 1 - 1, Derik Lacerda ⚽, Oliveira S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aderlan ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
46', Renato Marques ↓, Chico ↑,
46', Reinaldo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Guilherme ⚽,
51', Oliveira S. 🟨,
59', Pedro Augusto ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
59', Luan Candido ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
67', Guilherme ↓, Shaylon ↑,
69', Oliveira S. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
73', Neto Moura ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
75', Lucas Kal ↓, Hyoran ↑,
79', Jemmes ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
90+4', Joao Victor 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
Recife is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mirassol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Mirassol has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Hyoran
(Muscle Injury)
Leo Pereira
(Inactive)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Mirassol: Chico
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
Gabriel
(Injury)
Lucas Ramon
(Inactive)
PH
(Knee Injury)
Yago Felipe
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Sport Recife - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 33.2%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
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Gabriel (G) 
Oliveira S. 
Atencio R. 
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