Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 26

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Referee: Loustau J. P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports


	Almirante Brown		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.75
	2.2	2.65	3.7
	2.25	2.7	3.75	Watch
	2.34	2.65	4.09
	2.31	2.61	4.03	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.75
	2.29	2.59	3.9	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.34)	2.68 ↓ (2.7)	3.84 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
41.1%

Draw
34.7%

Gimnasia y Tiro
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

34.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

33.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	83.3%	16.7%

Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Acosta N. 2. Errecalde G. 6. Quiroz L. 3. Ochoa A. 7. Diaz T. 8. Gauna S. 5. Cenci B. 11. Ibanez J. 9. Gonzalez R. 10. Vera S.	1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. 2. Neira E. 6. Tallura A. 3. Abello D. 8. Galetto J. 5. Birge R. 10. Carrasco D. 11. Heredia F. 9. Attis T. 7. Rocca J.
Substitutes
17. Almada T. 16. Cardozo E. 18. Fernandez B. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 20. Flores G. 15. Iglesias L. 19. Portillo S. 14. Rodriguez F. 13. Varela C.	17. Araujo A. 19. Busse W. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 18. Duarte B. 15. Esparza M. 20. Lopez S. 13. Monti I. 14. Narese E. 16. Villarreal R.
Coaches
Bazan Vera D.	Forestello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Ochoa A. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cenci B. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
55', Vera S. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
65', Chaves I. F. ↓, Narese E. ↑,
65', Rocca J. ↓, Araujo A. ↑,
65', Carrasco D. ↓, Busse W. ↑,
73', Gonzalez R. ↓, Portillo S. ↑,
86', Attis T. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.24	Mitre - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
20.07.24	Almirante Brown - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
07.07.24	Almirante Brown - Colón	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Tristán Suárez - Almirante Brown	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 LWWTT
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.07.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
05.07.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Telmo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.03.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Almirante Brown	0:0

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