Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Eurico Gaspar Dutra (Dutrinha) (Cuiabá) 🌤️ ...


	Mixto		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	4.5	2.75	1.91
	4.15	2.88	2.02	Watch
	4.52	3	1.97
	4.81	2.69	2.00	Watch
	3.9	2.9	2
	4.56	2.83	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (4.45)	2.84 ↓ (3.35)	1.98 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mixto
21%

Draw
32.5%

Grêmio Novorizontino
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.6%

27.4%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

28.2%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mixto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Novorizontino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Mixto - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Glaycon (G) 9. Di Madia 17. Dionatha 8. Esquerdinha 10. Flavio Henrique 22. Indio 4. Jackson (C) 3. Lucas Straub 11. Luidy 6. Rael 5. Robson Lopes	31. Cesar Augusto (G) 20. Castrillon N. 25. Dantas 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 18. Leo Naldi 6. Luis Oyama 4. Patrick 11. Robson 10. Romulo 15. Tavinho 16. Vinicius Paiva
Substitutes
25. Erik 23. Filipe Fraga 26. Gabriel J. 19. Gabriel Justino 14. Guilherme Cerqueira 1. Gustavo Silva (G) 27. Hulk 20. Joao Henrick 16. Kennedy 21. Matheusinho 33. Wanderson 66. Wilderk (G)	9. Carlao 26. Gabriel Bahia 40. Jardiel 50. Juninho 1. Lucas Pereira (G) 17. Matheus Bianqui 30. Nicolas Careca 8. Ortiz C. 7. Ronald Barcellos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Robson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Flavio Henrique ↓, Hulk ↑,
66', Robson Lopes 🟨,
68', Tavinho ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
69', Castrillon N. ↓, Ronald Barcellos ↑,
71', 🟨,
73', Romulo ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Dantas ⚽,
77', Luidy ↓, Joao Henrick ↑,
77', Esquerdinha ↓, Gabriel J. ↑,
85', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
85', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
90+6', 0 - 3, Carlao ⚽,

Preview

Mixto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Novorizontino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mixto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Novorizontino has had a series of home games.

In this match, Novorizontino is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mixto-MT
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
08.03.26	Luverdense - Mixto	0:1 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Mixto - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Mixto - Botafogo PB	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
21.02.26	Mixto - Operário Ltda	2:1 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Operário Ltda - Mixto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWWT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Nacional AM	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Santos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWW

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