Match Info

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday


	Monaco		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.2
	2.20	3.50	2.80
	2.02	3.6	3.25
	2.11	3.73	3.17	Watch
	2.21	3.78	3.13
	2.09	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.2)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	3.13 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
44.5%

Draw
25.6%

Freiburg
30%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

25.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Monaco - Freiburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Monaco is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Freiburg is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Freiburg has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Monaco holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
9	Monaco	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3

Last Results with these Odds

Monaco - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Freiburg - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	CSKA Sofia - Monaco	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Monaco - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Monaco - Pisa	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.09.26	Monaco - Lens	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWWT
- SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Freiburg - Jablonec	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
11.10.26	Freiburg - Schalke 04	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Freiburg - Luzern	4:2
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTW

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