Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 37

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Casarano		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.82	3.35	2.28	Watch
	3.14	3.35	2.26
	2.99	3.36	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3	2.2
	3.09	3.13	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 (2.97)	3.24 ↓ (3.38)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
30.8%

Draw
28.2%

Crotone
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

27.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

26.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Casarano - Crotone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 27. Versienti L. 25. Bachini M. 33. Mercadante M. 77. Cajazzo I. 17. Maiello R. 11. Ferrara V. 3. Giraudo F. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 46. Leonetti V.	1. Merelli D. (G) 35. Novella M. 13. Armini N. 6. Di Pasquale D. 25. Guerra W. 80. Bruno K. 7. Vinicius 16. Gallo A. 11. Energe A. 10. Musso A. 96. Zunno M.
Substitutes
5. Celiento D. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 93. Ferilli M. (G) 24. Gega E. 29. Gyamfi B. 34. Negro S. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G. 18. Perez L. 16. Santarcangelo A.	32. Calvano S. 72. Cocetta N. 9. Gomez G. 27. Maggio M. 19. Marazzotti F. 14. Meli M. 76. Paciotti G. (G) 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 17. Russo D. 63. Veltri A. 77. Vrenna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Maiello R. ↓, Celiento D. ↑,
43', Gallo A. 🟨,
45+1', Armini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Novella M. ↓, Veltri A. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Zunno M. ⚽,
54', Di Pasquale D. 🟨,
62', Versienti L. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
62', Bachini M. ↓, Negro S. ↑,
65', Zunno M. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Cajazzo I. ⚽,
75', Cajazzo I. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
75', Leonetti V. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
81', Energe A. ↓, Cocetta N. ↑,
81', Gallo A. ↓, Calvano S. ↑,
82', Giraudo F. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Bruno K. ⚽,
88', Musso A. ↓, Russo D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Casarano is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)

Casarano has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Crotone has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Crotone could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Casarano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Last Results with these Odds

Crotone - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.81%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
12.04.26	Latina - Casarano	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Casarano - Potenza	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Casarano - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Catania - Casarano	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Casarano - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWTW
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
13.04.26	Crotone - Catania	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Giugliano - Crotone	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sorrento - Crotone	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Crotone - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.12.25	Crotone - Casarano	2:0

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