Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 36

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Domenico Francioni (Latina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Latina		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2.03	3.42	3.46
	1.95	3.49	3.49	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.98	3.28	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.32)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	3.4 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
45.7%

Draw
27.4%

Casarano
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Latina's performance.

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Latina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Latina - Casarano Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Latina will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 72. Vona A. 13. Marenco F. 18. Dutu E. 2. Ercolano E. 36. Lipani J. 30. De Ciancio R. 70. Tomaselli G. 20. Fasan N. 10. Riccardi A. 97. Parigi G.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 25. Bachini M. 33. Mercadante M. 27. Versienti L. 11. Ferrara V. 23. Logoluso G. 17. Maiello R. 4. Giraudo F. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 46. Leonetti V.
Substitutes
1. Basti M. (G) 6. Calabrese B. 77. Cioffi A. 27. D'Angelo S. 24. De Cristofaro A. 66. De Marchi D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 21. Hergheligiu D. 22. Iosa A. (G) 11. Pace F. 5. Pellitteri A. 3. Porro M. 80. Quieto D. 9. Sylla Y.	77. Cajazzo I. 5. Celiento D. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 24. Gega E. 29. Gyamfi B. 34. Negro S. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G. 18. Perez L. 16. Santarcangelo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Logoluso G. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Grandolfo F. ⚽,
62', Tomaselli G. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Chirico C. (Penalty Awarded),
68', De Ciancio R. ↓, De Cristofaro A. ↑,
68', Fasan N. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
68', Tomaselli G. 🟨,
70', Ercolano E. 🟨,
72', Bachini M. ↓, Negro S. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Lipani J. ⚽,
75', Riccardi A. ↓, D'Angelo S. ↑,
79', Leonetti V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
79', Maiello R. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
83', Grandolfo F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
87', Lipani J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Latina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Casarano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Latina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Latina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.04.26	Audace Cerignola - Latina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.04.26	Latina - Potenza	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
28.03.26	Latina - Catania	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Nuova Cosenza - Latina	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.03.26	Potenza - Latina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLL
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.04.26	Casarano - Potenza	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Casarano - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Catania - Casarano	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Casarano - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Monopoli - Casarano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.25	Casarano - Latina	1:1

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