Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)

Referee: Inoue T. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Montedio Yamagata		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	3.15	3.15	2.25
	2.95	3.2	2.27
	3.33	3.35	2.33
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	3.13	3.42	2.23	Watch
	3	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.09)	3.25 ↑ (3.08)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
30.4%

Draw
28.6%

Albirex Niigata
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Montedio Yamagata - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 1.

Recent matches Montedio Yamagata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Niigata is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Niigata have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Montedio Yamagata won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
24.09.22	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Montedio Yamagata - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
14.09.22	Montedio Yamagata - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
10.09.22	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Montedio Yamagata - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
25.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
14.09.22	Ventforet Kofu - Albirex Niigata	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.05.22	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	3:0
11.09.21	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
11.04.21	Montedio Yamagata - Albirex Niigata	0:2
04.11.20	Montedio Yamagata - Albirex Niigata	1:2
19.07.20	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	1:1
11.08.19	Montedio Yamagata - Albirex Niigata	2:0
13.04.19	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	2:2

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