The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montedio Yamagata 29.6%
Draw 27.6%
Shonan Bellmare 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
27.2%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
25.7%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Montedio Yamagata - Shonan Bellmare Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 19. Okamoto K. 4. Nishimura K. 49. Sakamoto K. 15. Kawai A. 17. Terayama T. 20. Yoshio Kaina 21. Tanaka W. 18. Yokoyama R. 9. Takahashi J. 14. Yanagimachi K.
31. Sanada K. (G) 13. Shimoguchi W. 22. Minoda K. 3. Hakamata Y. 86. Kase N. 16. Arthur Feitoza 6. Takeda S. 20. Ishibashi S. 15. Fujii T. 77. Ishii H. 34. Yamada H.
Substitutes
24. Hiraga S. 25. Kokubu S. 7. Nakamura R. 13. Nodake H. 45. Shibuya T. (G) 22. Shirowa H. 23. Tanaka S. 88. Thalisson 6. Yamada T.
27. Fukushima H. 99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 36. Matsumura H. 55. Okaniwa S. 28. Ota S. 4. Tachi K. 14. Takahashi N. 29. Watanabe K. 30. Yamaguchi G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Tanaka W. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Yanagimachi K. ⚽, Okamoto K. (A),
28', 3 - 0, Yoshio Kaina ⚽, Kawai A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yoshio Kaina ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
64', Takeda S. 🟨,
65', Kase N. ↓, Ota S. ↑,
65', Fujii T. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
65', Ishii H. ↓, Yamaguchi G. ↑,
66', Tanaka W. ↓, Kokubu S. ↑,
66', Yokoyama R. ↓, Hiraga S. ↑,
79', Ishibashi S. ↓, Fukushima H. ↑,
79', Minoda K. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
79', Sakamoto K. ↓, Shirowa H. ↑,
90+4', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Thalisson ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Watanabe K. ⚽, Fukushima H. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 3.
Montedio Yamagata is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shonan Bellmare has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Shonan Bellmare will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
China
Japan
Watch
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Heward-Belle T. (G) 
Okamoto K. 
Arthur Feitoza 
