Match Info

USA: US OPEN CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 25 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside)


	Monterey Bay		San Jose Earthquakes

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.8
	3.65	3.6	1.8
	3.63	3.73	1.76
	3.6	3.4	1.78
	3.76	3.9	1.81	Watch
	3.55	3.7	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.06)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	1.8 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
25%

Draw
24.7%

San Jose Earthquakes
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

26.9%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Jose Earthquakes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Monterey Bay - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Monterey Bay is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Jose is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Jose will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
22.04.23	Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay	2:3 ✺
15.04.23	Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Monterey Bay - New Mexico United	4:2 ✺
US Open Cup
05.04.23	Central Valley Fuego - Monterey Bay	1:3 ✺
USL Championship
01.04.23	Monterey Bay - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWWL
- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
22.04.23	Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes	3:1 ✺
15.04.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Sporting Kansas City	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Toronto FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTWT

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