Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 20

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday

Location: Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri (Montevarchi)


	Montevarchi		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.1
	3.3	2.95	2.05
	3.19	3.04	2.23
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.4	3.13	2.09	Watch
	3.45	3.15	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.75)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	2.08 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
27%

Draw
29.5%

Gubbio
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

31%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

30.5%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	6.7%	86.7%

Montevarchi - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: Gubbio will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Montevarchi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gubbio is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gubbio will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montevarchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Montevarchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.22	Montevarchi - Rimini	0:1 ✺
10.12.22	Alessandria - Montevarchi	2:2 ✺
03.12.22	Montevarchi - Pontedera	1:2 ✺
29.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Montevarchi	3:1 ✺
26.11.22	Montevarchi - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLLT
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.22	Gubbio - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Sassari Torres - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Gubbio - Siena	2:0 ✺
29.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	0:4 ✺
26.11.22	Gubbio - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
04.09.22	Gubbio - Montevarchi	2:0
23.04.22	Montevarchi - Gubbio	2:1
19.12.21	Gubbio - Montevarchi	1:0

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