Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	ESPN 3
Colombia	ESPN 3
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Portugal	Sport TV4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3
World	Onefootball


	Montevideo City Torque		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.35	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.05	2.98	2.38	Watch
	3.31	3.09	2.36
	3.3	3.12	2.33	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.3
	3.58	3.09	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.44)	3.08 ↓ (3.32)	2.32 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
28.8%

Draw
30.6%

Grêmio
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28.5%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Montevideo City Torque - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 2. Romero F. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S. 18. Lecchini R.	1. Weverton (G) 14. Marcos Rocha 2. Fabian Balbuena 4. Walter Kannemann (C) 38. Caio Paulista 19. Noriega E. 8. Arthur Melo 65. Riquelme 21. Tete 22. Braithwaite M. 99. Enamorado J.
Substitutes
7. Andrade L. 15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 19. Guzman D. 14. Kociubinski B. 29. Martinez F. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 3. Silva K. 27. Taran J.	9. Amuzu F. 77. Andre Henrique 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 37. Gabriel Mec 43. Luis Eduardo 11. Monsalve M. 5. Nardoni J. 54. Pedro Gabriel 32. Ramon V. 47. Roger 39. Tiago 3. Wagner Leonardo
Coaches
Mendez M.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Siles P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Aguero E. ⚽, Obregon E. (A),
56', Riquelme ↓, Gabriel Mec ↑,
56', Enamorado J. ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
56', Noriega E. ↓, Nardoni J. ↑,
61', Siles P. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
63', Arthur Melo ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
70', Tete ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
81', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
86', Marcos Rocha 🟨,
89', Lecchini R. ↓, Silva K. ↑,
89', Montes G. ↓, Taran J. ↑,
90+2', Guzman D. 🟨,
90+5', Walter Kannemann 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Montevideo City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Grêmio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Montevideo City: 8.21%

Last Results with these Odds

Grêmio - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.04.26	Danubio - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo City Torque	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Central Español	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLWT
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Grêmio - Remo	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Palmeiras - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Grêmio - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Chapecoense - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWT

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