Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 1

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)


	Montevideo Wanderers		La Luz

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.8
	2.23	3.2	3.1
	2.43	3.3	3.14
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.3	3.3	2.96	Watch
	2.33	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.87)	3.24 ↓ (3.54)	2.96 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
40.1%

Draw
28.6%

La Luz
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevideo Wanderers's form might have worsened.

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Luz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevideo Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Montevideo Wanderers - La Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 3 - 75%). La Luz will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 4. Acosta J. 23. Garcia E. 44. Risso M. (C) 33. Camargo G. 8. Veglio B. 18. Cerro F. 7. Leonardo Pais 10. Albarracin N. 20. Andrade T. 32. Costa R.	12. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 13. Ancheta E. 2. Paolini M. 28. Viera R. 23. Castillo E. 25. Rabunal M. 14. Porcile P. 30. Quintana J. 16. Hernandez A. (C) 10. Osores B. 99. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
19. Albarracin A. 22. Figueredo S. 5. Fonseca N. 3. Garcia I. 12. Laforia F. (G) 9. Milan F. . Pastorini R. 21. Rolon K. 17. Suarez M. 26. Wagner G.	24. Baeza J. 8. Barreto F. 7. Boselli J. 22. Fagundez P. 15. Gonzalez A. 26. Machado L. 6. Martirena F. 1. Mendez R. (G) 29. Ramis J. 9. Scorza B.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Russo M.

Preview

Wanderers is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

La Luz has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wanderers will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Wanderers to win the game is with odds 2.14.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.07.23	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
07.07.23	La Luz - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3 ✺
01.07.23	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	4:0 ✺
24.06.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWT
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.07.23	La Luz - Montevideo City Torque	1:3 ✺
16.07.23	River Plate Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
07.07.23	La Luz - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3 ✺
01.07.23	Defensor Sporting - La Luz	3:0 ✺
23.06.23	La Luz - Danubio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.07.23	La Luz - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3
05.02.23	La Luz - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3

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