Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - TORNEO INTERMEDIO - ROUND 5

Date: 7 July 2023, Friday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Referee: Vignolo N. (Uru)


	La Luz		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.43	2.99	3.49
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.26	3.22	3.1	Watch
	2.16	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.42)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	3.18 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Luz
41.7%

Draw
29.3%

Montevideo Wanderers
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

La Luz - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. La Luz will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for La Luz: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendez R. (G) 2. Paolini M. 4. Carrera S. 23. Castillo E. 13. Ancheta E. 15. Gonzalez A. 5. De Los Santos M. 24. Baeza J. 16. Hernandez A. 9. Royon N. 26. Machado L.	1. Silveira M. (G) 3. Garcia I. 22. Figueredo S. 33. Camargo G. 44. Risso M. 8. Veglio B. 5. Fonseca N. 10. Albarracin N. 18. Cerro F. 24. Fonseca M. 32. Costa R.
Substitutes
28. Barreto F. 7. Boselli J. 12. Colman J. (G) 22. Fagundez P. 6. Martirena F. 29. Millacet F. 11. Neira I. 14. Porcile P. 20. Puentes L. 30. Quintana J.	4. Acosta J. 19. Albarracin A. 25. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 23. Garcia E. 12. Laforia F. (G) 7. Leonardo Pais 9. Milan F. 47. Ramirez S. 21. Rolon K. 26. Wagner G.
Coaches
Pallas I.	Blanco Soto S. R.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches La Luz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams La Luz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.07.23	Defensor Sporting - La Luz	3:0 ✺
23.06.23	La Luz - Danubio	0:2 ✺
17.06.23	Boston River - La Luz	4:0 ✺
02.06.23	La Luz - Peñarol de Montevideo	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLLWW
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.07.23	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	4:0 ✺
24.06.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
18.06.23	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
05.02.23	La Luz - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3

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