Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - TORNEO INTERMEDIO - ROUND 4

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)


	Defensor Sporting		La Luz

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.71	3.91	5.08
	1.62	3.5	4.5
	1.69	3.76	4.6	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.86)	3.65 ↑ (3.46)	4.65 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
54.9%

Draw
25.3%

La Luz
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

25.8%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensor Sporting's performance.

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Defensor Sporting - La Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: Defensor Sporting will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Dufour M. (G) 15. Pintado J. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 25. Boselli Graf J. S. 7. Rodriguez N. 16. Freitas G. 8. Elizari F. 17. Perez R. 10. Duarte A. 21. Valiente J. 11. Balboa A.	12. Colman J. (G) 8. Viera R. 4. Carrera S. 24. Baeza J. 13. Ancheta E. 14. Porcile P. 16. Hernandez A. (C) 23. Castillo E. 7. Boselli J. 10. Schiappacasse N. 30. Quintana J.
Substitutes
29. Agazzi L. 6. Amaro M. 13. Cambon A. 30. Cuello E. 24. de los Santos L. 18. Figueredo H. 20. Navarro A. 2. Rocha M. 1. Rossi N. (G) 28. Ymbert L.	28. Barreto 22. Fagundez P. 15. Gonzalez A. 26. Machado L. 6. Martirena F. 1. Mendez R. (G) 29. Millacet F. 11. Neira I. 9. Royon N. 99. Scorza B.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Pallas I.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Defensor Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Defensor Sporting is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.06.23	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
18.06.23	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
05.06.23	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Danubio - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTTT
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.06.23	La Luz - Danubio	0:2 ✺
17.06.23	Boston River - La Luz	4:0 ✺
02.06.23	La Luz - Peñarol de Montevideo	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	La Luz - Danubio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
19.02.23	Defensor Sporting - La Luz	1:0
Uruguay Copa
13.11.22	Defensor Sporting - La Luz	1:0

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