The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montevideo Wanderers 17.4%
Draw 25.9%
Peñarol de Montevideo 56.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.5%
26.1%
58.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.2%
25%
56%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
28.6%
57.1%
Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Buffa A. (G) 13. Formiliano F. 21. Benitez S. 23. Olivera Moreira L. N. 31. Furtado N. 5. Queiroz N. 16. Alberti J. 15. Mencia Hernandez D. J. 30. Labandeira F. 11. Luna J. 80. Urretaviscaya J. (C)
29. Aguerre W. (G) 14. Rodriguez K. 2. Escobar F. 3. Lemos M. 93. Laxalt D. 32. Umpierrez L. 5. Remedi E. 8. Fernandez N. 23. Togni G. 11. Hernandez A. 19. Arezo M.
Substitutes
14. Acosta M. 18. Baju L. 25. Freitas G. 17. Garcia A. 20. Guzman S. 70. Levato M. 12. Rio J. (G) 7. Rivero R. 9. Roque R. 24. Suarez P.
22. Alvez F. 18. Barbas G. 9. Batista F. 1. Britos S. (G) 80. Gonzalez F. 25. Gonzalez M. 21. Jesus Trindade 27. Lucas Hernandez 30. Muhlethaler S. 16. Olase T.
Coaches
Corujo M.
Aguirre D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,
42', Togni G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Togni G. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
54', Alberti J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Labandeira F. ⚽,
59', Hernandez A. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
59', Laxalt D. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
70', Alberti J. ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
70', Lemos M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
79', Labandeira F. ↓, Roque R. ↑,
79', Mencia Hernandez D. J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
82', Freitas G. 🟨,
86', Benitez S. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
86', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
90+6', Remedi E. 🟨,
90+10', Roque R. 🟨,
90+10', Escobar F. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 1.
Recent form of Wanderers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Peñarol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.8:1).