Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Montevideo Wanderers		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3	2.25
	3.17	3.29	2.36
	3.09	3.23	2.32	Watch
	3	3	2.3
	3.1	3.13	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.69)	3.09 ↑ (3.04)	2.3 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
29.8%

Draw
30%

Racing Montevideo
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

30.7%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

30.4%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buffa A. (G) 21. Benitez S. 13. Formiliano F. 31. Freitas G. 8. Furtado N. 30. Labandeira F. 15. Mencia Hernandez D. J. 5. Queiroz N. 80. Urretaviscaya J. (C) 6. Zazpe L. 19. Zeballos J.	12. Varese F. (G) 13. Alvarez F. 21. Alvarez Wallace A. 3. Brazionis 8. Cairus F. 4. Cotugno G. 33. Da Silva S. 14. De Los Santos E. 18. Habib T. 37. Oyarzo Y. 39. Vazquez A.
Substitutes
14. Acosta M. 16. Alberti J. 18. Baju L. 17. Garcia A. 20. Guzman S. 70. Levato M. 11. Luna J. 12. Rio J. (G) 7. Rivero R. 24. Suarez P.	40. Atum A. 16. Da Silva E. 19. Dudok R. 17. Ferreira M. 29. Gonzalez F. 27. Loprete L. 1. Machado F. (G) 23. Sosa N. 77. Tomatis B. 7. Varela J.
Coaches
Corujo M.	Chambian C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Freitas G. ⚽,
20', Urretaviscaya J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', Zeballos J. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
64', De Los Santos E. ↓, Da Silva E. ↑,
66', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,
68', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Habib T. ⚽,
72', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Alberti J. ↑,
72', Labandeira F. ↓, Levato M. ↑,
78', Zazpe L. 🟨,
78', Cotugno G. 🟨,
82', Habib T. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
90+2', Queiroz N. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Sosa N. ⚽,
90+4', Queiroz N. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
90+5', Cairus F. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
90+5', Da Silva S. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 2.

Recent performances by Wanderers have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Racing might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wanderers	9	4	3	2	12:11	1	15
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Montevideo - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.02%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.04.26	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro	3:0 ✺
25.03.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.04.26	Racing Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Racing Montevideo - Progreso	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
03.08.25	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.25	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.02.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo	0:0
07.09.24	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
20.07.24	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
23.02.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo	0:1
24.10.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo	1:2

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