Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
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Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Montpellier		Nancy

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.35
	2.08	3.31	3.8
	2.10	3.32	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.28	3.36	Watch
	2.2	3.55	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.15)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	3.36 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
44.2%

Draw
28%

Nancy
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Montpellier - Nancy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Montpellier (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. 27. Omeragic B. (C) 21. Mincarelli L. 44. Chennahi T. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 18. Pays N. 11. Savanier T. 7. Mbuku N. 19. Mendy A.	1. Basilio E. (G) 21. Mendy E. 14. Saint-Ruf N. (C) 4. Fernandez N. 23. Bamba R. 17. Carlier M. 6. Bouriaud T. 27. Maouassa F. 8. Bouabdelli W. 20. Bokangu B. 10. Dabasse A.
Substitutes
3. El Hannach N. 10. Fayad K. 6. Jullien C. 1. Michel M. (G) 14. Orakpo V. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 28. Sishuba A.	13. Camara B. 22. Evans J. 19. Experience M. 7. Fdaouch Z. 12. Julloux A. 16. Sourzac M. (G) 26. Ztouti Z.
Coaches
Camara Z.	Correa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Mendy E. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Bamba R. ⚽,
22', Mendy E. 🟨,
23', Correa P. 🟨,
33', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Omeragic B. ⚽,
45', Chennahi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bokangu B. ↓, Julloux A. ↑,
46', Chennahi T. ↓, Jullien C. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Fayad K. ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Pays N. ⚽, Jullien C. (A),
64', Bouriaud T. ↓, Fdaouch Z. ↑,
65', Maouassa F. ↓, Experience M. ↑,
65', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Camara B. ↑,
68', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Ztouti Z. ↑,
71', Mincarelli L. ↓, Sainte-Luce T. ↑,
72', Savanier T. ↓, Sishuba A. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Mbuku N. ⚽, Fayad K. (A),
85', Omeragic B. ↓, El Hannach N. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4.

Montpellier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nancy has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Montpellier will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Inactive) Mouanga Y. (Injury) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Nancy: El Hansar C. (Injury) Kenzo N. (Injury) Ztouti Z. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
18.10.25	Dunkerque - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Montpellier - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Laval - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
23.09.25	Montpellier - Boulogne	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Montpellier - Bastia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWLW
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
20.10.25	Nancy - Amiens	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Guingamp - Nancy	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Nancy - Reims	0:1 ✺
23.09.25	Annecy - Nancy	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Nancy - Red Star	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Coupe de la Ligue
30.10.19	Montpellier - Nancy	3:2
French Ligue 1
11.02.17	Nancy - Montpellier	0:3
26.11.16	Montpellier - Nancy	0:0
16.02.13	Montpellier - Nancy	1:0
29.09.12	Nancy - Montpellier	0:2
17.03.12	Nancy - Montpellier	1:0

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