Match Info

Serie A - Round 30

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	12:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	07:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	14:30	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	12:30	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	12:30	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	07:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	13:30	Max Sport 3
Chile	07:30	Disney+
China	18:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	05:30	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	12:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	13:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	12:30	Sport 1
Denmark	12:30	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	13:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	14:30	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 1
Germany	12:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	13:30	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	18:30	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	12:30	Match 4, Net4+
India	16:00	GXR World
Indonesia	17:30	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	13:30	ONE Sport 2, Sport 1
Italy	12:30	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	19:30	DAZN Japan
Macao	18:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	15:30	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	12:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	04:30	Disney+, ESPN
New Zealand	23:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	12:30	VG+
Peru	05:30	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	12:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	11:30	Sport TV3
Romania	13:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	13:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	13:30	STC TV
Serbia	12:30	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	12:30	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	12:30	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN South
Spain	12:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	12:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	12:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV
Turkey	13:30	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	13:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Arab Emirates	14:30	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	07:30	Disney+
Usa	06:30	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	06:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	17:30	ON Plus
International	10:30	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Cagliari		Monza

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5.5
	1.82	3.45	4.65
	1.79	3.6	4.95
	1.84	3.41	5.03	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5
	1.81	3.57	5.05	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)	4.96 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
53.6%

Draw
27.2%

Monza
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26.7%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.1%	6.9%	6.9%

Cagliari - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: Cagliari will win (62 of 72 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.12% – 94.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Caprile E. (G) 24. Palomino J. L. 26. Mina Y. 6. Luperto S. 19. Zortea N. 8. Adopo M. 16. Prati M. 3. Augello T. 10. Viola N. (C) 97. Felici M. 91. Piccoli R.	30. Turati S. (G) 13. Pereira P. 4. Izzo A. (C) 33. D'Ambrosio D. 19. Birindelli S. 11. Castrovilli G. 42. Bianco A. 7. Akpa Akpro J. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 17. Balde K. 47. Mota D.
Substitutes
1. Ciocci G. (G) 9. Coman F. 14. Deiola A. 70. Gaetano G. 21. Jankto J. 77. Luvumbo Z. 29. Makoumbou A. 18. Marin R. 80. Mutandwa K. 30. Pavoletti L. 36. Pintus N. 71. Sherri A. (G) 28. Zappa G.	2. Brorsson A. 10. Caprari G. 84. Ciurria P. 20. Forson O. 6. Gagliardini R. 35. Ganvoula S. 3. Lekovic S. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 22. Palacios T. 37. Petagna A. 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 8. Urbanski K. 80. Vignato S. 18. Zeroli K.
Coaches
Nicola D.	Nesta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Luperto S. 🟨,
30', Izzo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Viola N. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
60', Birindelli S. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
60', Castrovilli G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
61', Felici M. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
61', Viola N. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
67', Balde K. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, Gaetano G. ⚽,
74', Balde K. ↓, Ganvoula S. ↑,
74', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
75', Piccoli R. 🟨,
76', Piccoli R. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
76', Prati M. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
82', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
90+1', Augello T. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Luvumbo Z. ⚽, Gaetano G. (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Cagliari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cagliari is a favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Cagliari: Coman F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Obert A. (Thigh Injury) Zappa G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Caldirola L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carboni A. (Thigh Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
16.03.25	Roma - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Cagliari - Genoa	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Bologna - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Cagliari - Juventus	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Atalanta - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLLT
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
15.03.25	Monza - Parma	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Inter Milan - Monza	3:2 ✺
02.03.25	Monza - Torino	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Roma - Monza	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Monza - Lecce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
05.01.25	Monza - Cagliari	1:2
16.03.24	Monza - Cagliari	1:0
26.11.23	Cagliari - Monza	1:1

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