Match Info

Serie B - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Venezia		Monza

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.7	Watch
	2.15	3	3.55	Watch
	2.22	3.06	3.93
	2.11	3.17	3.63	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.19	3.04	3.55	Watch
	2.14	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.34)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)	3.64 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
43.5%

Draw
30.8%

Monza
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

32%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	27.8%	5.6%

Venezia - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Monza will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Monza (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Monza (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (C) 3. Schingtienne J. 30. Svoboda M. 33. Sverko M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. 8. Doumbia I. 19. Bjarkason B. 10. Yeboah J. 9. Adorante A.	20. Thiam D. (G) 4. Izzo A. 13. Ravanelli L. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 7. Azzi P. 26. Ciurria P. 25. Alvarez A. 47. Mota D.
Substitutes
37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 21. Compagnon M. 32. Duncan A. 7. Fila D. 23. Grandi M. (G) 5. Haps R. 2. Korac S. 24. Lella N. 20. Sagrado R. 48. Sidibe A. 16. Venturi M.	24. Bakoune A. 17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 10. Caprari G. 21. Colombo L. 15. Delli Carri F. 23. Galazzi N. 3. Lucchesi L. 9. Maric M. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 16. Sardo J.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Colombo L. 🟨,
14', Azzi P. 🟨,
38', Perez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Perez K. ⚽, Hainaut A. (A),
56', 2 - 0, Adorante A. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Alvarez A. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
63', Mota D. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
74', Ciurria P. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
74', Izzo A. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
75', Adorante A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
75', Bjarkason B. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
83', Yeboah J. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
84', Perez K. ↓, Duncan A. ↑,
87', Obiang P. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
90+1', Petagna A. 🟨,
90+3', Sverko M. ↓, Korac S. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Venezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Venezia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Venezia: Bohinen E. (Inactive) Conde C. (Broken Leg) Franjic B. (Injury) Pietrelli A. (Inactive) Plizzari A. (Inactive) Sverko M. (Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Caprari G. (Inactive) Colpani A. (Inactive) Forson O. (Knee Injury) Ravanelli L. (Inactive) Zeroli K. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Venezia - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.48%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
08.12.25	Avellino - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Inter Milan - Venezia	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Venezia - Mantova	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Padova - Venezia	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Venezia - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWW
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
08.12.25	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Monza - Cesena	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Pescara - Monza	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Monza - Spezia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.04.25	Venezia - Monza	1:0
27.10.24	Monza - Venezia	2:2
Italian Serie B
20.03.21	Monza - Venezia	1:4
11.12.20	Venezia - Monza	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.15	Monza - Venezia	1:2
11.10.14	Venezia - Monza	0:1
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
16.06.13	Venezia - Monza	3:2

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