Match Info

Serie A - Round 24

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	DAZN, ESPN
Bolivia	DAZN
Canada	FuboTV
Colombia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	ESPN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	DAZN


	Milan		Como

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.42	3.15	3.05	Watch
	2.46	3.2	3.3
	2.42	3.19	3.29	Watch
	2.3	3	3
	2.46	3.26	3.32
	2.36	3.14	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.99)	3.18 ↓ (3.47)	3.18 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
40%

Draw
30%

Como
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

26.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan's form might have worsened.

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	18.3%	5%

Milan - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 45 - 76.3%). Como will win (votes: 3 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 65.4% – 87.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Milan (1.63) (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Milan (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Milan (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Como (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 25 - 80.6%). Como (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 5. De Winter K. 23. Tomori F. 31. Pavlovic S. 24. Athekame Z. 30. Jashari A. 14. Modric L. 4. Ricci S. 33. Bartesaghi D. 18. Nkunku C. 10. Leao R.	1. Butez J. (G) 14. Ramon J. 34. Diego Carlos 2. Kempf M. O. 77. Van der Brempt I. 23. Perrone M. 8. Roberto S. (C) 31. Vojvoda M. 6. Caqueret M. 20. Baturina M. 10. Paz N.
Substitutes
2. Estupinan P. 19. Fofana Y. 9. Fullkrug N. 46. Gabbia M. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 27. Odogu D. 11. Pulisic C. 56. Saelemaekers A. 1. Terracciano P. (G) 96. Torriani L. (G)	42. Addai J. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 33. Da Cunha L. 11. Douvikas A. 19. Kuhn N. 15. Lahdo A. 18. Moreno A. 17. Rodriguez J. 28. Smolcic I. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 3. Valle A. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Allegri M.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Paz N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pavlovic S. ↓, Gabbia M. ↑,
53', Paz N. 🟨,
56', Ricci S. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
56', Athekame Z. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
62', Nkunku C. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
63', Butez J. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Leao R. ⚽, Jashari A. (A),
68', Leao R. 🟨,
68', Ramon J. 🟨,
71', Van der Brempt I. ↓, Valle A. ↑,
71', Paz N. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
78', Caqueret M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
78', Roberto S. ↓, Da Cunha L. ↑,
80', Allegri M. 🟥,
82', Leao R. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
87', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
90', Vojvoda M. ↓, Smolcic I. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Optus Stadium.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Milan has had a series of away games.

Milan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Milan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 7.71% Como: 6.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	6	11
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
13.02.26	Pisa - Milan	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Bologna - Milan	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Roma - Milan	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	Como - Milan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWW
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
14.02.26	Como - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.02.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
01.02.26	Como - Atalanta	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
27.01.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
24.01.26	Como - Torino	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.01.26	Como - Milan	1:3
15.03.25	Milan - Como	2:1
14.01.25	Como - Milan	1:2

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