What is the expert prediction for Como vs Napoli?

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Como vs Napoli Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, May 02, 2026)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 35

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Como		Napoli

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.3
	2.28	3.2	3.35	Watch
	2.29	3.3	3.54
	2.28	3.29	3.47	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.31	3.33	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.24)	3.22 ↓ (3.58)	3.45 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
42.5%

Draw
29.7%

Napoli
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.9%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Napoli will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 14. Ramon J. 34. Diego Carlos 3. Valle A. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 38. Diao A. 10. Paz N. 20. Baturina M. 11. Douvikas A.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 31. Beukema S. 13. Rrahmani A. 4. Buongiorno A. 21. Politano M. (C) 8. McTominay S. 68. Lobotka S. 3. Gutierrez M. 11. De Bruyne K. 27. Alisson Santos 19. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
6. Caqueret M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 5. Goldaniga E. 2. Kempf M. O. 19. Kuhn N. 15. Lahdo A. 7. Morata A. 18. Moreno A. 8. Roberto S. 17. Rodriguez J. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.	99. Anguissa F. 14. Contini N. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. 20. Elmas E. 6. Gilmour B. 23. Giovane 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G) 37. Spinazzola L.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', De Bruyne K. ↓, Anguissa F. ↑,
69', Ramon J. 🟨,
78', Fabregas C. 🟨,
80', Rrahmani A. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
80', Douvikas A. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
80', Baturina M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
80', Valle A. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
86', Diao A. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
86', Da Cunha L. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
89', Politano M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Recent form of Como has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Napoli is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Napoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Como has had a series of away games.

Como is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Lukaku R. (Hip Injury) Vergara A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Como: Roberto S. (Muscle Injury) Vojvoda M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Juan Jesus (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Como won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Como won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Como - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.41%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
26.04.26	Genoa - Como	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
21.04.26	Inter Milan - Como	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.04.26	Sassuolo - Como	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Como - Inter Milan	3:4 ✺
06.04.26	Udinese - Como	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLT
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
24.04.26	Napoli - Cremonese	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Napoli - Lazio	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Parma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Napoli - Milan	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Cagliari - Napoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
10.02.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 penalties
Italian Serie A
01.11.25	Napoli - Como	0:0
23.02.25	Como - Napoli	2:1
04.10.24	Napoli - Como	3:1

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