Match Info

Serie A - Round 9

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 2h 48m 📅 Remind Me

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bangladesh	01:45	Begin
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 2
Cambodia	02:45	MyTV
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
India	01:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Iraq	22:45	Almanasa
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Qazsport
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Suriname	16:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	ELTA Sports 2
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+


	Monza		Napoli

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.90	1.73	Watch
	4.40	3.80	1.75
	4.40	3.90	1.70
	4.73	4.00	1.76
	4.53	3.98	1.79	Watch
	4.60	3.90	1.71
	4.53	4.12	1.81
	4.70	4.00	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.1)	3.95 ↑ (3.71)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
20.9%

Draw
24.2%

Napoli
54.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.2%

25.6%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

25%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	9.1%	77.3%

Monza - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Napoli will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Monza (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

1X2 - Napoli (1.75) (votes: 83%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 25%). Napoli (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 15th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Monza (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Napoli has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Monza could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Napoli carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Monza: Pessina M. (Knee Injury) Ziolkowski J. (Foot Injury).

Confirmed absences for Napoli: Alisson Santos (Muscle Injury) Badiashile B. (Injury) Buongiorno A. (Knee Injury) David Neres (Thigh Injury) Favasuli C. (Thigh Injury) Spinazzola L. (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Monza: Maye Y. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Napoli: Rrahmani A. (Illness).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Monza has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:11 (averaging 0.7:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Napoli	8	3	2	3	13:10	3	11
15	Monza	8	2	1	5	15:18	-3	7

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 1.1% Monza: 0.13%

Last Results with these Odds

Napoli - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
23.10.26	Torino - Monza	3:2 ✺
19.10.26	Monza - Cagliari	4:0 ✺
11.10.26	Lazio - Monza	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Brest - Monza	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Monza - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLTL
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
24.10.26	Napoli - Roma	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Napoli - Bodø Glimt	4:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.26	Venezia - Napoli	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Villarreal - Napoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.10.26	Napoli - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
19.04.25	Monza - Napoli	0:1
29.09.24	Napoli - Monza	2:0
07.04.24	Monza - Napoli	2:4
29.12.23	Napoli - Monza	0:0
14.05.23	Monza - Napoli	2:0
21.08.22	Napoli - Monza	4:0

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