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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 23.4%
Draw 26.9%
Wycombe Wanderers 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
27.1%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
26.9%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.
Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wycombe Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wycombe Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
5%
95%
Morecambe - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
Wycombe Wanderers will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
Morecambe has the most likely position - 23 (81.64%), project points - 38, currently - 35, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
Wycombe has the most likely position - 8 (46.08%), project points - 74, currently - 65, not chance of relegated, a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), not chance of win league.
This event has small quality15, very small importance7, small match rating11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3.
Morecambe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Wycombe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Wycombe is a favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.
Watch
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