Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 41

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Boyeson C. (Eng)


	Wycombe Wanderers		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	6
	1.53	4	5.75
	1.51	4.25	6.45
	1.54	4.22	6.53
	1.52	4	6
	1.53	4.15	6.15	Watch
	1.54	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	4.07 ↑ (4)	6.1 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
61.4%

Draw
23.1%

Forest Green Rovers
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

17.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wycombe Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forest Green Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wycombe Wanderers - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Wycombe Wanderers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Wycombe has the most likely position - 8 (37.59%), project points - 73, currently - 62, not chance of relegated, a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), not chance of win league.

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (96.82%), project points - 31, currently - 26, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 12, very small importance 4, very small match rating 8. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Wycombe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forest Green is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Wycombe is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wycombe won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Wycombe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
07.04.23	Ipswich Town - Wycombe Wanderers	4:0 ✺
01.04.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Charlton Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	0:1 ✺
14.03.23	Bristol Rovers - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTLW
- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
07.04.23	Forest Green Rovers - Derby County	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Portsmouth - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Forest Green Rovers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Plymouth Argyle - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Forest Green Rovers - Bristol Rovers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
12.11.22	Forest Green Rovers - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2
English League Cup
28.08.18	Wycombe Wanderers - Forest Green Rovers	3:2 penalties
English League Two
01.01.18	Forest Green Rovers - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2
02.09.17	Wycombe Wanderers - Forest Green Rovers	3:1
Club Friendly
18.07.12	Forest Green Rovers - Wycombe Wanderers	N/A

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