Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 39

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Barnsley		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	9.5
	1.32	5	9.25
	1.3	5.3	11
	1.34	5.12	10.11
	1.32	4.75	9.5
	1.33	5.05	9.3	Watch
	1.33	4.9	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)	5.05 ↑ (4.28)	9.64 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
71.5%

Draw
18.7%

Morecambe
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.8%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

20.6%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnsley's performance.

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Barnsley - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Barnsley has the most likely position - 4 (45.91%), project points - 90, currently - 72, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (78%), a chance of promoted (44%), a small chance of win league (7%).

Morecambe has the most likely position - 22 (40.7%), project points - 39, currently - 34, a very good chance of relegated (96%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 17, importance 40, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Barnsley is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Morecambe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barnsley is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barnsley to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
28.03.23	Exeter City - Barnsley	3:1 ✺
21.03.23	Barnsley - Sheffield Wednesday	4:2 ✺
18.03.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Barnsley - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
07.03.23	Barnsley - Portsmouth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWWW
- Morecambe
English League One
25.03.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Morecambe - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
14.03.23	Morecambe - Charlton Athletic	1:4 ✺
11.03.23	Shrewsbury Town - Morecambe	3:1 ✺
07.03.23	Cambridge United - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
22.10.22	Morecambe - Barnsley	1:0
English League Cup
08.08.17	Barnsley - Morecambe	4:3

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