The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 19%
Draw 23.9%
Plymouth Argyle 57.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
26.7%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
26.2%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
9.1%
90.9%
Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Morecambe has the most likely position - 23 (51.47%), project points - 38, currently - 34, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
Plymouth has the most likely position - 1 (40.4%), project points - 95, currently - 80, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), a good chance of promoted (72%), a chance of win league (40%).
This event has small quality15, importance55, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0.
Morecambe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Plymouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
Watch
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