Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Moreirense		Chaves

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.8	3.75
	1.78	3.5	4.15
	1.77	3.38	4.05
	1.76	3.58	4.07	Watch
	1.78	3.58	4.72	Watch
	1.56	3.98	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.53)	3.64 ↓ (4.03)	4.48 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreirense
53.8%

Draw
25.5%

Chaves
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.2%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreirense's form might have worsened.

Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Moreirense - Chaves Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 3.

Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moreirense is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Moreirense - Lusitânia	3:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	AVS - Moreirense	0:3 ✺
11.05.25	Moreirense - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
02.05.25	Porto - Moreirense	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Moreirense - Nacional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLT
- Desportivo Chaves
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Chaves - Fafe	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.05.25	Penafiel - Chaves	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Chaves - Leiria	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Tondela - Chaves	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Chaves - Alverca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
10.02.24	Moreirense - Chaves	1:0
03.09.23	Chaves - Moreirense	1:2
29.05.22	Moreirense - Chaves	1:0
21.05.22	Chaves - Moreirense	2:0
20.04.19	Moreirense - Chaves	0:1
15.12.18	Chaves - Moreirense	1:2
18.02.18	Moreirense - Chaves	0:1

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