Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)


	Chaves		Alverca

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.7
	2.2	3.1	2.85
	2.33	3.25	3
	2.52	3.3	2.98
	2.38	3.19	3.01	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.36	3.32	2.98	Watch
	2.33	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.2)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	2.97 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
39.6%

Draw
29.1%

Alverca
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Chaves - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chaves: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vozinha (G) 15. Carraca 13. Fernandes V. (C) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 5. Romero A. 25. Pedro Tiba 8. Pinho P. 88. Pina R. 20. Ricardo A. 21. Wellington Carvalho 9. Tiago Reis	98. Joao Bravim (G) 22. David Bruno 5. Varela F. 6. Velazquez S. 74. Shinga K. 40. Ageu E. 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 12. Reinaldo 88. Martins D. 7. Brenner 9. Carter A.
Substitutes
23. Gomes R. 12. Ktatau 31. Moura R. (G) 11. Pelagio P. 29. Platiny 10. Sanca L. 26. Soro A. 19. Tiago Almeida 83. Tounkara M.	3. Alysson 10. Andrezinho 20. Bukia A. 25. Dias R. 89. Joao Marcos 16. Pires M. 8. Rosa C. 23. Silva P. (G) 36. Thauan Lara
Coaches
Alves M.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Martins D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Reinaldo ⚽, David Bruno (A),
55', Pinho P. 🟨,
56', Pedro Tiba ↓, Ktatau ↑,
56', Wellington Carvalho ↓, Soro A. ↑,
56', Ricardo A. ↓, Platiny ↑,
64', Pinho P. ↓, Pelagio P. ↑,
69', Brenner ↓, Andrezinho ↑,
69', Martins D. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
72', Platiny 🟨,
75', Reinaldo 🟨,
77', Carter A. ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
77', Pelagio P. 🟨,
78', Pina R. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
85', Ageu E. ↓, Alysson ↑,
85', Reinaldo ↓, Dias R. ↑,
90', Pedro Bicalho 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Recent matches Chaves is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alverca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chaves will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chaves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
19.04.25	Porto B - Chaves	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Chaves - Portimonense	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Chaves - Vizela	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Paços de Ferreira - Chaves	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Chaves - Oliveirense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
20.04.25	Alverca - Oliveirense	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Vizela - Alverca	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Alverca - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Feirense - Alverca	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Alverca - Torreense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.12.24	Alverca - Chaves	3:1

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