Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 34

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Moreirense		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	5.25
	1.43	4.33	5.75
	1.4	4.4	6.5
	1.49	4.87	6.24
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.43	4.65	6.2
	1.43	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.72)	4.48 ↑ (3.73)	6.01 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreirense
64.2%

Draw
20.5%

Covilhã
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

24.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreirense's performance.

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	4.8%	9.5%

Moreirense - Covilhã Predictions

Users Predictions: Moreirense will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dutra S. (G) 42. Garcia V. 43. Lucas Freitas 13. Rocha L. 18. Amador P. M. S. 88. Franco G. B. 6. Pacheco F. (C) 7. Walterson Silva 11. Alanzinho 31. Madson 9. Andre Luis	1. Igor (C) 2. Costa Rodrigues D. M. 14. Simoes J. 71. Goncalves da Silva L. R. 11. Jorginho 8. Gilberto 26. Vega L. 16. Cornelio 5. Yang S. 19. Aponza W. 45. Olamilekan Fatai S.
Substitutes
10. Aparicio Pedro 22. David Bruno 23. Frimpong 3. Hugo Gomes 40. Kewin (G) 21. Kodisang K. 16. Manconi 80. Ofori L. 99. Platiny	3. Casagrande P. 7. Kukula 22. Lourenco Vilanculos G. 23. Rodrigues N. 92. Sao Bento V. (G) 74. Shinga K. 70. Traquina 10. Ze Tiago 80. Zimbabwe
Coaches
Alves P.	Martins da Costa D. A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 2.

Moreirense in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Covilhã is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Moreirense is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Moreirense to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
21.05.23	Mafra - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
14.05.23	Moreirense - Leixões	4:2 ✺
06.05.23	Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense	2:4 ✺
29.04.23	Moreirense - Tondela	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Porto B - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWT
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
20.05.23	Covilhã - Trofense	0:2 ✺
14.05.23	Vilafranquense - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Covilhã - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	BSAD - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
24.04.23	Covilhã - Mafra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.01.23	Covilhã - Moreirense	0:0
Taça de Portugal
25.11.18	Covilhã - Moreirense	0:3
Portuguese Liga 2
28.12.13	Moreirense - Covilhã	0:0
18.08.13	Covilhã - Moreirense	1:2
Portuguese League Cup
07.08.13	Covilhã - Moreirense	1:0

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