Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 33

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Mafra		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.38
	2.6	3.25	2.35
	2.6	3.2	2.48
	2.77	3.51	2.58
	2.7	3.2	2.35
	2.66	3.45	2.44
	2.7	3.25	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.55)	3.31 ↓ (3.34)	2.42 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
34.4%

Draw
27.7%

Moreirense
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.9%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Mafra - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Moreirense will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Mafra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mafra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
13.05.23	BSAD - Mafra	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Mafra - Vilafranquense	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Leixões - Mafra	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Covilhã - Mafra	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Mafra - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWWW
- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
14.05.23	Moreirense - Leixões	4:2 ✺
06.05.23	Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense	2:4 ✺
29.04.23	Moreirense - Tondela	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Porto B - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Moreirense - Benfica B	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
13.01.23	Moreirense - Mafra	4:2
Taça de Portugal
23.12.21	Mafra - Moreirense	3:1
24.11.19	Moreirense - Mafra	1:3

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