Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Gandarada (Mortagua)


	Mortágua		Peniche

	1	X	2
	2	2.98	3.6
	2.12	2.91	3.59	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.07	2.88	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.7)	2.89 ↓ (3.45)	3.57 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mortágua
43.5%

Draw
31.2%

Peniche
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mortágua's form might have worsened.

Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Mortágua - Peniche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

Peniche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mortágua is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mortágua won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mortágua won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mortagua	4	3	1	0	9:4	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.02.26	Oliveira Hospital - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Mortágua - União da Serra	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Eléctrico - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW
- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.02.26	Peniche - Fatima	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Peniche - Lajense	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Peniche - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Marinhense - Peniche	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Peniche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.10.25	Peniche - Mortágua	4:0
23.02.25	Mortágua - Peniche	0:0
27.10.24	Peniche - Mortágua	3:1
28.01.24	Mortágua - Peniche	2:0
17.09.23	Peniche - Mortágua	3:1

Mortágua - Peniche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide