Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Motagua		Vida

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.75	10.5
	1.11	7	19	Watch
	1.13	7.26	14.48
	1.14	5.5	11
	1.09	8	18	Watch
	1.12	7.2	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.41)	6.79 ↑ (4.5)	14.66 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
80.4%

Draw
13.4%

Vida
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

19%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motagua's performance.

Vida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motagua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vida than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Motagua - Vida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rougier J. (C) 2. Alvarez K. 3. Melendez C. 17. Decas W. 27. Melendez C. 8. Martinez Betanco W. J. 51. Garcia J. 21. Gomez R. 12. Santos M. 11. Auzmendi A. 9. Castillo R.	28. Valdez Oseguera J. M. (G) 32. Bernardez M. (C) 18. Palacios D. 35. Suazo D. 19. Portillo J. 13. Manaiza C. 10. Canales M. 27. Chimilio L. 14. Espinoza S. 16. Funez E. 11. Villafranca J.
Substitutes
. Alder Villatoro 29. Auzmendi R. 33. Castellanos H. 23. Delgado J. 25. Licona M. (G) 15. Maldonado E. 16. Mejia C. 26. Melendez D. 22. Munguia E. 7. Serrano J. . Vazquez Matias 6. Zapata R.	29. Barahona K. 30. Bengoche A. (G) 23. Castrillo J. 20. Centeno J. 7. Garcia M. 25. Palacios J. 9. Tellas G. 15. Villalta Y. 5. Zuniga A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Motagua won 3.

Motagua is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vida is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Motagua is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Motagua to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 47 head-to-head matches Motagua won 27 matches, drawn 14 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 79-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Motagua won 16 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 51-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.02.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Motagua	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Motagua - CD Marathón	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Génesis PN - Motagua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- CDS Vida
Honduras Liga Nacional
29.02.24	Vida - Olancho	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Vida - Real Sociedad Tocoa	3:4 ✺
18.02.24	Génesis PN - Vida	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Vida - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	CD Marathón - Vida	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
18.10.23	Motagua - Vida	3:0
20.08.23	Vida - Motagua	3:3
08.04.23	Vida - Motagua	0:0
11.02.23	Motagua - Vida	2:1
08.10.22	Vida - Motagua	0:3
10.08.22	Motagua - Vida	2:2
08.05.22	Motagua - Vida	0:0

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