The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Motor Lublin 26.8%
Draw 26%
Legia Warsaw 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.4%
24.9%
47.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
24.8%
47.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Motor (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Legia Warsaw will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 20%). Legia (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Tratnik G. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 18. Bereszynski B. 4. Plavotic T. 24. Luberecki F. 30. Ndiaye M. 6. Legowski M. 2. Meyer P. 7. Rodrigues I. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 10. Czubak K. (C)
89. Hindrich O. (G) 91. Piatkowski K. 8. Augustyniak R. 24. Arsenic Z. 11. Chodyna K. 23. Sevcik M. 53. Urbanski W. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 19. Vinagre R. 7. Kuchta J. 17. Szczepaniak M.
Substitutes
70. Aiko M. 5. Akatov A. 39. Bartos M. 27. Bourhane Y. 90. Gregorski D. 23. Haxha F. 8. Kikis 71. Popa M. (G) 9. Rony Lopes 29. Santos T. 19. Szymanek K.
9. Adamski R. 6. Arreiol H. 1. Brkic I. (G) 5. Deziel R. 99. Kovacik S. 97. Mikanovich E. 13. Reca A. 4. Szymanski D. 27. Viunnyk B. 20. Zewlakow J. 79. Zjawinski L.
Coaches
Misiura M.
Papszun M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Kapustka B. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Augustyniak R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', Meyer P. ↓, Bourhane Y. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Czubak K. ⚽, Lukoszek K. (A),
66', Urbanski W. ↓, Arreiol H. ↑,
66', Sevcik M. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Czubak K. ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),
71', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
71', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
71', Kuchta J. ↓, Zjawinski L. ↑,
78', Legowski M. 🟨,
80', Arsenic Z. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
90+4', Bereszynski B. ↓, Bartos M. ↑,
90+4', Legowski M. ↓, Kikis ↑,
90+4', Lukoszek K. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Zewlakow J. ⚽,
90+11', 2 - 3, Zewlakow J. ⚽, Vinagre R. (A),
90+12', Zewlakow J. 🟨,
90+14', Adamski R. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Legia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Motor: Plichta K.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Legia: Bichakhchyan V.
(Inactive)
Colak A.
(Inactive)
Stojanovic P.
(Tendon Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.6:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Legia: 15.92% Motor Lublin: 0.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Legia
9
5
4
0
19:8
11
19
16
Motor Lublin
9
1
3
5
9:15
-6
6
Last Results with these Odds
Motor Lublin - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 27.36%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.