Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
France	beIN Sports MAX 7
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.39	4.95	6.3	Watch
	1.4	5.46	7.58
	1.37	5.49	7.01	Watch
	1.36	4.8	6.5
	1.47	4.85	6.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.76)	5.05 ↑ (3.93)	6.62 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
67.2%

Draw
18.6%

Valladolid
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

23.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Santander's performance.

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Racing Santander - Valladolid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Racing (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Valladolid (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 50%). Valladolid (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Eriksson S. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 4. Manu 21. Ramon P. 32. Salinas J. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 7. Guliashvili G.	13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. (C) 5. Martinez R. 23. Jaouab M. 18. Clerc C. 22. Peter Federico 6. Lachuer M. 16. Maroto M. 21. Ponceau J. 38. Carvajal A. 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 44. Chino 1. Ezkieta J. (G) 3. Garcia M. 17. Mata J. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 12. Villalibre A.	1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 40. Chinedu B. 26. de Pablo A. (G) 25. Erlien V. 35. Galdeano A. 24. Juric S. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 30. Modesto H. 11. Ndiaye A. 19. Sanseviero L. 15. Tomeo P.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Escriba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Guliashvili G. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
33', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Jaouab M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', Clerc C. 🟥,
62', 2 - 1, Martin A. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Carvajal A. ↓, Tomeo P. ↑,
64', Maroto M. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
69', Ponceau J. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
72', Gueye M. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Martin A. ⚽, Villalibre A. (A),
84', Puerta G. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
84', Martin A. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
84', Latasa J. ↓, Erlien V. ↑,
84', Martinez R. ↓, Galdeano A. ↑,
86', Mantilla A. 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 1, Camara S. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0.

Racing is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Valladolid has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Racing is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Gonzalez F. (Ankle Injury) Lozano M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Valladolid: Biuk S. (Yellow Cards) Bueno G. (Knee Injury) Canos S. (Injury) Garriel I. (Injury) Ohio N. (Knee Injury) Torres D. (Yellow Cards)

We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.26	Leganés - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Racing Santander - Huesca	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Ceuta - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Racing Santander - Almería	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.26	Valladolid - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Valladolid - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	FC Andorra - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Valladolid - Eibar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.26	Valladolid - Racing Santander	1:1
29.01.24	Valladolid - Racing Santander	3:1
11.11.23	Racing Santander - Valladolid	2:3
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Valladolid - Racing Santander	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.15	Racing Santander - Valladolid	1:4
07.09.14	Valladolid - Racing Santander	3:1

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