Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Náxara		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	6.75	4	1.4
	7.5	4.2	1.42	Watch
	6.4	3.8	1.38
	8.16	4.16	1.41
	7.7	4.15	1.39
	7	4.2	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.25 ↑ (4.88)	4.09 ↑ (3.3)	1.4 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
12.6%

Draw
22.3%

Barakaldo
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

27.4%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

27.1%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náxara's form might have worsened.

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barakaldo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náxara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barakaldo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Náxara - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Náxara is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barakaldo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Barakaldo is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Náxara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.02.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Náxara	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Náxara - San Juan	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Mutilvera - Náxara	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Náxara - Zaragoza B	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Alavés B - Náxara	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLTL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.02.24	Barakaldo - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
04.02.24	Calahorra - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Barakaldo - Utebo	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	San Juan - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.10.23	Barakaldo - Náxara	1:0

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