Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Nîmes		Lyon

	1	X	2
	9	5.75	1.33	Watch
	8.25	5.5	1.34
	7.5	5.4	1.35	Watch
	7.2	5.6	1.35
	8.06	5.85	1.36
	8.5	5.25	1.33	Watch
	7.9	5.85	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.06 ↑ (7.64)	5.6 ↑ (5.41)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nîmes
11.9%

Draw
17.1%

Lyon
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

17.6%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

15.5%

79.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	6.1%	79.6%

Nîmes - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (39 of 49 users predict this - 79.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.3% – 90.88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

No spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage)).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (92.18%), has project points - 37, has currently - 35, has a good chance of relegated (94%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Lyon has the most likely position - 4 (55.27%), has project points - 77, has currently - 73, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of qualify for ucl (45%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nîmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lyon is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 1
09.05.21	Metz - Nîmes	0:3 ✺
02.05.21	Nîmes - Reims	2:2 ✺
25.04.21	Lens - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
18.04.21	Nîmes - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Brest - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLTT
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
08.05.21	Lyon - Lorient	4:1 ✺
02.05.21	Monaco - Lyon	2:3 ✺
25.04.21	Lyon - Lille	2:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.04.21	Lyon - Monaco	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.04.21	Nantes - Lyon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
18.09.20	Lyon - Nîmes	0:0
06.12.19	Nîmes - Lyon	0:4
24.05.19	Nîmes - Lyon	2:3
19.10.18	Lyon - Nîmes	2:0

Upcoming Matches